Well the nominees are in! I've posted the full list below as well as my reactions as to who did and didn't make the cut this year. Films are listed alphabetically by film or individual, as announced by the Academy this morning.
Best Picture- American Hustle, Captain Phillips, Dallas Buyers Club, Gravity, Her, Nebraska, Philomena, 12 Years a Slave, The Wolf of Wall Street
Missing- Inside Llewyn Davis, Saving Mr. Banks
Best Director- David O Russell "American Hustle", Alfonso Cuaron "Gravity", Alexander Payne "Nebraska", Steve McQueen "12 Years a Slave", Martin Scorsese "The Wolf of Wall Street"
Missing- Paul Greengrass "Captain Phillips", Spike Jonze "Her", Joel & Ethan Coen "Inside Llewyn Davis"
Best Actor- Christian Bale "American Hustle", Bruce Dern "Nebraska", Leonardo DiCaprio "The Wolf of Wall Street", Chiwetel Ejiofor "12 Years a Slave", Matthew McConaughey "Dallas Buyers Club"
Missing- Tom Hanks "Captain Phillips", Robert Redford "All is Lost"
Best Actress- Amy Adams "American Hustle", Cate Blanchett "Blue Jasmine", Sandra Bullock "Gravity", Judi Dench "Philomena", Meryl Streep "August: Osage County"
Missing- Emma Thompson "Saving Mr. Banks"
Best Supporting Actor- Barkhad Abdi "Captain Phillips", Bradley Cooper "American Hustle", Michael Fassbender "12 Years a Slave", Jonah Hill "The Wolf of Wall Street", Jared Leto "Dallas Buyers Club"
Missing- Daniel Bruhl "Rush"
Best Supporting Actress- Sally Hawkins "Blue Jasmine", Jennifer Lawrence "American Hustle", Lupita Nyong'o "12 Years a Slave", Julia Roberts "August: Osage County", June Squibb "Nebraska"
Missing- Oprah Winfrey "Lee Daniels' The Butler"
Best Original Screenplay- David O Russell & Eric Singer "American Hustle", Woody Allen "Blue Jasmine", Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack "Dallas Buyers Club", Spike Jonze "Her", Bob Nelson "Nebraska"
Missing- Joel & Ethan Coen "Inside Llewyn Davis", Alfonso & Jonas Cuaron "Gravity"
Best Adapted Screenplay- Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy & Ethan Hawke "Before Midnight", Billy Ray "Captain Phillips", Steve Coogan & Jeff Pope "Philomena", John Ridley "12 Years a Slave", Terence Winter "The Wolf of Wall Street"
Missing- Tracy Letts "August: Osage County"
Best Cinematography- Philippe Le Sourd "The Grandmaster", Emmanuel Lubezki "Gravity", Bruno Delbonnel "Inside Llewyn Davis", Phedon Papamichael "Nebraska", Roger Deakins "Prisoners"
Missing- Sean Bobbitt "12 Years a Slave", Barry Ackroyd "Captain Phillips"
Best Film Editing- Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers & Alan Baumgarten "American Hustle", Christopher Rouse "Captain Phillips", John Mac McMurphy & Martin Pensa "Dallas Buyers Club", Alfonso Cuaron & Mark Sanger "Gravity", Joe Walker "12 Years a Slave"
Missing- Thelma Schoonmaker "The Wolf of Wall Street"
Best Production Design- Judy Becker & Heather Loeffler "American Hustle", Andy Nicholson, Rosie Goodwin & Joanne Woollard "Gravity", Catherine Martin & Beverley Dunn "The Great Gatsby", KK Barrett & Gene Serdena "Her", Adam Stockhausen & Alice Baker "12 Years a Slave"
Missing- Dan Hennah, Ra Vincent & Simon Bright "The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug", Michael Corenblith & Susan Benjamin "Saving Mr. Banks"
Best Costume Design- Michael Wilkinson "American Hustle", William Chang Suk Ping "The Grandmaster", Catherine Martin "The Great Gatsby", Michael O'Connor "The Invisible Woman", Patricia Norris "12 Years a Slave"
Missing- Daniel Orlandi "Saving Mr. Banks", Mary Zophres "Inside Llewyn Davis"
Best Makeup & Hairstyling- Dallas Buyers Club, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, The Lone Ranger
Missing- American Hustle
Best Visual Effects- Gravity, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Iron Man 3, The Lone Ranger, Star Trek: Into Darkness
Missing- Pacific Rim
Best Sound Editing- All is Lost, Captain Phillips, Gravity, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Lone Survivor
Missing- Rush, Pacific Rim
Best Sound Mixing- Captain Phillips, Gravity, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Inside Llewyn Davis, Lone Survivor
Missing- All is Lost
Best Original Score- John Williams "The Book Thief", Stephen Price "Gravity", William Butler & Owen Pallett "Her", Alexandre Desplat "Philomena", Thomas Newman "Saving Mr. Banks"
Missing- Hans Zimmer "12 Years a Slave", Alex Ebert "All is Lost", Henry Jackman "Captain Phillips"
Best Original Song- Alone Yet Not Alone "Alone Yet Not Alone", Happy "Despicable Me 2", Let It Go "Frozen", The Moon Song "Her", Ordinary Love "Mandela: A Long Walk to Freedom"
Missing- So You Know What It's Like "Short Term 12", Atlas "The Hunger Games: Catching Fire", Young & Beautiful "The Great Gatsby", In the Middle of the Night "Lee Daniels' The Butler"
Best Animated Feature- The Croods, Despicable Me 2, Ernest & Celestine, Frozen, The Wind Rises
Missing- Monsters University
Best Foreign Language Film- The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium), The Great Beauty (Italy), The Hunt (Denmark), The Missing Picture (Cambodia), Omar (Palestine)
Missing- The Grandmaster (Hong Kong), The Notebook (Hungary)
Best Documentary Feature- The Act of Killing, Cutie and the Boxer, Dirty Wars, The Square, 20 Feet from Stardom
Missing- Stories We Tell, Blackfish, The Crash Reel
Best Documentary Short Subject- CaveDigger, Facing Fear, Karama Has No Walls, The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life, Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall
Best Animated Short Subject- Feral, Get a Horse!, Mr Hublot, Possessions, Room on the Broom
Missing- Gloria Victoria
Best Live Action Short Subject- Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn't Me), Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before Losing Everything), Helium, Pitaako Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?), The Voorman Problem
The Oscar Police
Thursday, January 16, 2014
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Oscar Nominees Predictions 2013
The Oscars are quickly approaching
with nominations being announced January 16, 2014 at 8:30 am EST. So it’s time
for my annual predictions post! I will be tuning in the day of the nominations and
blogging my response to the nominees, so make sure to check back.
So many fantastic movies came out
this year, I would be satisfied by about half of these movies winning best
picture and credit must be given to all the other very worthy nominees that
there isn't enough room to include here.
Best Picture-
12 Years a Slave, Gravity, American Hustle, Captain Phillips, Her, Inside
Llewyn Davis, Dallas
Buyers Club, Nebraska, Saving Mr. Banks, The Wolf of Wall Street
Most
Likely to Slay the Wolf- Fruitvale
Station, Blue Jasmine, Philomena
Other
Possibilities- August: Osage
County, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom,
All is Lost, Lee Daniels’ The Butler, Mud, Rush,
Prisoners
12
Years a Slave and Gravity are the frontrunners to win so
far, with American Hustle close
behind and all are locked in for a nomination. At this point I would say that Captain Phillips is also locked in, and while I don't feel they're as good Nebraska and Saving Mr Banks should also be fairly locked in as well.
Her, Inside Llewyn Davis and Dallas Buyers Club have all been snubbed in other awards circles but I expect to see all 3 nominated at the Oscars.
The Wolf of Wall Street seems to be the
weakest link at this point, with very mixed reviews from critics. Still, with
all the campaigning it’s been doing for a spot I would be genuinely surprised
to see it left out.
Fruitvale Station
did manage to knock out Dallas Buyers
Club for a spot on the American Film Institute’s annual Top 10 list,
although The Dark Knight Rises and Moonrise Kingdom both beat out Amour last year on the list and Amour trumped them at the Oscars anyways,
so take that with a grain of salt. More interesting to note is that Blue Jasmine beat Inside Llewyn Davis for a spot at the PGA, that might have some bearing on the nominations tomorrow morning.
Philomena is another popular choice by critics not to be overlooked
and of course August: Osage County has
the Weinstein card so don’t be too surprised if either are nominated. The one
thing I feel relatively certain about is that we will see a full 10 nominees
put up this year.
Best Director-
Alfonso Cuaron “Gravity”, Steve McQueen “12 Years a Slave”, David O Russell
“American Hustle”, Paul Greengrass “Captain Phillips”, Spike Jonze “Her”
Could Take 4th or 5th
Spot- Martin Scorsese “The Wolf of Wall Street”, Alexander Payne “Nebraska”, Joel & Ethan Coen “Inside Llewyn Davis”
Major Players- Woody Allen “Blue
Jasmine”, Ryan Coogler “Fruitvale Station”
Other
Possibilities- JC Chandor “All is
Lost”, Lee Daniels “Lee Daniels’ The Butler”, John Lee Hancock “Saving Mr.
Banks”,
Nicole Holofcner “Enough Said”, Jason
Reitman “Labor Day”
This
is always one of the tightest Oscar races and most difficult to predict, and this year is certainly no exception. Only Cuaron and McQueen
are locks here at this point, with the Oscar likely going to one of the two. Russell
and Greengrass seem safe with DGA nominations to back them up. The 5th spot could go
either way between Scorsese, Payne and Jonze. Scorsese nabbed the 5th spot at the DGAs, BAFTAs and Critics Choice, Jonze also picked up a Critics Choice nod and Payne got 5th at the Globes. With all the controversy around The Wolf of Wall Street over the holidays, I'm going to say that Jonze sneaks in here by a hair, but it's anyone's game.
Allen could quite
easily snatch up a ‘surprise’ nomination and Coogler could pull the same move Benh
Zeitlin did last year. If last year’s best director nominations taught us anything it
is that for all of our predictions, we simply don’t know what
will happen here.
Best Actor-
Chiwetel Ejiofor “12 Years a Slave”, Matthew McConaughey “Dallas Buyers Club”, Tom
Hanks “Captain Phillips”, Bruce Dern “Nebraska”, Robert Redford “All is Lost”
Major
Players- Christian Bale “American Hustle”, Leonardo DiCaprio “The Wolf of Wall
Street”, Joaquin Phoenix “Her”, Oscar Isaac “Inside Llewyn Davis”, Michael B
Jordan “Fruitvale Station”, Forest Whitaker “Lee Daniels’ The Butler”, Idris Elba “Mandela: A Long Walk to
Freedom”
Best
actor seems to be a fairly easy call at this point, but don’t think that we
couldn’t see some upsets here. Ejiofor and McConaughey are the locks, with
McConaughey taking the Golden Globe home. Hanks is a glaringly obvious choice as well and has yet to be overlooked.
I would not be surprised to see
Bale knocking out Dern or Redford and although Whitaker trumped Redford for a
SAG nomination, I would be surprised if the Academy left Redford out. Bale has
managed to pick up a Critics’ Choice and BAFTA nomination, but losing out at
the SAG could cost him. DiCaprio also managed to pick up a BAFTA nomination and
a Golden Globe win, while both McConaughey and Redford lost out at the BAFTAs. At
the end of the day, this was an amazing year and all of the actors listed
deserve awards for their work.
Best Actress- Cate Blanchett “Blue Jasmine”, Emma Thompson “Saving Mr. Banks”, Meryl Streep “August: Osage County”, Judi Dench “Philomena”, Sandra Bullock “Gravity”
Dark
Horse- Amy Adams “American Hustle”
Other
Possibilities- Adele Exarchopoulos
“Blue is the Warmest Colour”, Brie
Larson “Short Term 12”, Berenice Bejo “The Past”, Kate Winslet “Labor Day”,
Julie Delpy “Before Midnight”, Julia-Louise Dreyfus “Enough Said”, Greta Gerwig “Frances Ha”
This list seems to be unanimous
between critics and is the one I expect to see a surprise in the least. Amy Adams is
the dark horse and could steal a nomination here. She has had a phenomenal year
and certainly deserves an Oscar. The big question is whose spot would she take?
She did manage to pick up Streep’s
spot at the BAFTAs and a win at the Golden Globes, but for Streep to miss an
Oscar nomination is a tough call.
It’s also worth mentioning that Larson
did manage to score film critics’ awards in Austin and Detroit as well as at Gotham and slipping past Adams for a Critics’ Choice nomination, but her
chances in this race are small.
Best Supporting Actor- Jared Leto “Dallas Buyers Club”, Michael Fassbender “12
Years a Slave”, Bradley Cooper “American Hustle”, Barkhad Abdi “Captain
Phillips”, Daniel Bruhl “Rush”
Other Possibilities- James
Gandolfini “Enough Said”, Tom Hanks “Saving Mr. Banks”, Matthew McConaughey “The
Wolf of Wall Street”, Jonah Hill “The Wolf of Wall Street”, Matthew McConaughey
“Mud”, James Franco “Spring
Breakers”, David Oyelowo “Lee Daniels’ The Butler”, Jeremy Renner
“American Hustle”
The most open-ended of the acting
categories, Leto and Fassbender are both locks at this point with Cooper a
likely 3rd. Abdi and Bruhl are based on the Golden Globe and much more
importantly SAG nominations.
Gandolfini beat out Cooper for a post-humous SAG nomination
and both were nominated at the Critics’ Choice. Fassbender, Cooper, Abdi and
Bruhl all received BAFTA nominations and while Leto was left out (Matt Damon
for Soderbergh’s TV movie Behind the
Candelabra filled his spot), that simply won’t happen again. Hanks, Hill
and McConaughey are certainly still in the running though and
Franco could be a dark horse here as well.
Best Supporting Actress- Lupita Nyong’o “12 Years a Slave”, Jennifer Lawrence “American Hustle”, Oprah Winfrey “Lee Daniels’ The Butler”, Julia Roberts “August: Osage County”, June Squibb “Nebraska”
Can
She Do It? - Scarlett Johansson “Her”
Other
Possibilities- Octavia Spencer
“Fruitvale Station”, Sally Hawkins “Blue Jasmine”, Margo Martindale “August:
Osage County”, Lea Seydoux “Blue is the Warmest Color”, Jennifer Garner “Dallas
Buyers Club”, Sarah Paulson “12 Years a Slave”
SAG
nominations again confirm this category and Nyong’o and Lawrence are both locks
at this point. Winfrey is relatively safe and Squibb
and Roberts are likely to pick up nominations, but Spencer and Hawkins could swoop
in for the steal. Hawkins has already knocked out Squibb at the BAFTAs. The big
question is can Johansson get a nomination for her voice acting in Her? She did manage to pick up a win in
Detroit and a Critics Choice nomination. I would be happy to swap out Squibb
for Johansson, but whether she can and will make it remains to be seen.
Best Original Screenplay- Spike Jonze “Her”, Bob
Nelson “Nebraska”,
David O Russell & Eric Singer “American Hustle”, Woody Allen “Blue Jasmine”, Joel & Ethan Coen “Inside
Llewyn Davis”
Could Take 5th Spot- Alfonso
Cuaron & Jonas Cuaron “Gravity”, Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack “Dallas
Buyers Club”, Ryan Coogler “Fruitvale Station”, Nicole Holofcner “Enough Said”
Other
Possibilities- Kelly Marcel &
Sue Smith “Saving Mr. Banks”, JC Chandor “All is Lost”, Jeff Nichols “Mud”,
Danny Strong “Lee Daniels’ The Butler”
Unlike
its twin below, original screenplay is packed with many well-deserving
candidates this year. Jonze is my personal favourite to win here, so I’ll admit
I am quite biased, but he and Nelson are the frontrunners.
Jonze,
Nelson, Allen and Russell all received WGA nominations which should lock them
in for the Oscars. The Coen brothers are rarely without some lovin’ from the
Academy, especially for something this good. That being said, they’ll have to
compete with the Cuarons, Holofcner, Coogler and now WGA-nominee Borten &
Wallack.
Best Adapted Screenplay- John Ridley “12 Years a Slave”, Billy Ray “Captain Phillips”, Terence Winter “The Wolf of Wall Street”, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke & Richard Linklater “Before Midnight”, Steve Coogan & Jeff Pope “Philomena”
Other
Possibilities- Tracy Letts “August: Osage County”, Peter Berg “Lone
Survivor”, Ghalia Lacroix & Abdellatif Kachiche “Blue is the Warmest
Color”, Jason Reitman “Labor Day”,
Daniel Cretton “Short Term 12”
For
the first time in quite a while this is a much weaker category than original
screenplay and probably one of the weaker categories this the year. Ridley is a
lock and Ray and Winter are a likely 2nd and 3rd. 4th and 5th place are between Before
Midnight, Philomena and August: Osage County. Before Midnight seems to be a safe 4th spot at this point picking up a WGA nomination with Ridley, Ray and Winter. While Letts did take the 5th spot at the WGAs, my vote is still for Coogan & Pope, especially seeing as this is one of only a few nominations Philomena is likely to get.
Best Cinematography- Emmanuel Lubezki “Gravity”, Bruno
Delbonnel “Inside Llewyn Davis”, Sean Bobbitt “12 Years a Slave”, Phedon
Papamichael “Nebraska”, Roger Deakins
“Prisoners”
Could Easily Steal 4th
or 5th- Barry Ackroyd “Captain Phillips” , Hoyte van Hoytema “Her”, Phillipe Le Sourd “The Grandmaster”
Other
Possibilities- Frank G DeMarco “All is Lost”, John
Schwartzman “Saving Mr. Banks”, Simon Duggan “The Great Gatsby”, Anthony Dod Mantle “Rush”
Lubezki is the favourite to win
here so far for his stunning work on Gravity and his picked up several awards
already so he is safe. Delbonnel is a close second with Bobbitt not far behind.
Deakins, Papamichael and Ackroyd will likely close up the last 2 spots. ASC has broken
ground with a surprising 7 nominees (a 3-way tie for 5th spot).
Lubezki, Delbonnel, Bobbitt, Papamichael, Deakins, Ackroyd and Le Sourd all
received the ASC nod.
Best Film Editing- Alfonso Cuaron & Mark Sanger “Gravity”, Christopher Rouse “Captain Phillips”, Joe Walker “12 Years a Slave”, Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers & Alan Baumgarten “American Hustle”, Thelma Schoonmaker “The Wolf of Wall Street”
Other
Possibilities- Eric Zumbrunnen
& Jeff Buchanan “Her”, Daniel P
Hanley & Mike Hill “Rush”, Roderick Jaynes “Inside Llewyn Davis”, Kevin
Tent “Nebraska”, Stephen Mirrione “August: Osage County”, Mark Livolsi “Saving
Mr. Banks”, Pete Beaudreau “All is Lost”
Cuaron & Sanger have the lead here and both Rouse and Walker should be safe, but otherwise it is a tight race for a nomination. Zumbrunnen & Buchanan have gained some momentum by beating out Hanley & Hill for an ACE nomination, so Rush may not make the cut (pun intended) even with the BAFTA nomination. Jaynes & Tent could also possibly sneak in and while Mirrione and Livolsi both received ACE nominations, their chances are weak.
Best Production Design- Adam Stochausen & Alice
Baker “12 Years a Slave”, Catherine Martin & Beverly Dunn “The Great Gatsby”, Dan Hennah, Simon Bright & Ra Vincent “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug”, Michael Corenblith & Susan Benjamin “Saving Mr. Banks”, Judy Becker & Heather Loeffler “American Hustle”
Major Players- Jess Gonchor & Susan Bode “Inside Llewyn Davis”, Andy Nicholson & Rosie Goodwin “Gravity”, KK Barrett &
Gene Serdena “Her”
Other
Possibilities- Paul Kirby “Captain
Phillips”, David Gropman & Nancy Haigh “August: Osage County”, Robert
Stromberg & Nancy Haigh “Oz: The Great and Powerful”, Tim Galvin &
Diane Lederman “Lee Daniels’ The Butler”,
Maria Djurkovic & Tatiana Macdonald “The Invisible Woman”, Jeff Mann & Regina Graves “The Secret
Life of Walter Mitty”, Santo Loquasto “Blue Jasmine”
Now,
this is a nerve racking one to predict as I actually managed to predict all 5
nominees last year and there is some stiff competition this year. 12 Years a Slave and The Great Gatsby are the closest we will see to locks here. The final 3 spots are split between American Hustle, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Gravity, Inside Llewyn Davis, Her and Saving Mr. Banks, so this really could go anyone's way.
My bets are on The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Saving Mr. Banks and American Hustle. Gravity, Inside Llewyn Davis, and Her could all very easily pick up spots, however.
Best Costume Design- Catherine Martin “The Great Gatsby”, Patricia Norris “12 Years a Slave”, Michael Wilkinson “American Hustle”, Daniel Orlandi “Saving Mr. Banks”, Mary Zophres “Inside Llewyn Davis”
Big Threats- Bob Buck, Ann Maskrey & Richard Taylor “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug”, Michael O’Connor “The Invisible Woman”
Other Possibilities- Gary Jones “Oz: The Great and Powerful”, Penny Rose “The Lone Ranger”, Kurt Swanson & Bart Mueller “Dallas Buyers Club”,
Ruth E Carter “Lee Daniels’ The Butler”, Trish Summerville “The Hunger Games:
Catching Fire”, Suzy Benzinger “Blue Jasmine”, Casey Storm “Her”, Wendy Chuck
“Nebraska”, Consolata Boyle “Philomena”, Sarah
Edwards “The Secret Life of Walter Mitty”
Martin,
Wilkinson and Norris are all looking like locks and Orlandi is a safe bet. Buck,
Maskrey & Taylor picked up a Critics’ Choice nomination and could easily break into this category. O’Connor picked up a BAFTA
nomination (alongside Behind the Candelabra, which is ineligible at the Oscars) in place of Norris and Zophres. There's a good chance that he could once again knock out Zophres at the Oscars as well.
Best
Makeup & Hairstyling- American Hustle, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, The Lone Ranger
The Rest of the Shortlist- Dallas
Buyers Club, The Great Gatsby, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Hansel & Gretel Witch Hunters
The Academy’s shortlist has
completely changed this race and has quickly made it the most unexpectedly
controversial category of the year so far. The 7 shortlisted films saw major
snubs for The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Lee Daniels’ The
Butler, Star Trek: Into Darkness, Rush, Oz: The Great and Powerful and 12 Years
a Slave.
Taking all this into account the race has completely changed and
the frontrunners are currently Bad Grandpa and American Hustle. The Lone Ranger is also leading here, but a lack of love for The Lone Ranger and Bad Grandpa could cost them their spots to The Great Gatsby, Dallas Buyers Club and even The Hunger Games: Catching Fire. The only safe bet is that Hansel & Gretel Witch Hunters will not get an Oscar nomination.
Sidebar: Controversy around what
have been some of the biggest snubs of the year (so far) could prompt the Academy to
finally bump this category up from 3 to 5 nominees.
Best Visual Effects- Gravity, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Iron
Man 3, Star Trek: Into Darkness, Pacific Rim
Shortlist- Elysium, The Lone Ranger, Oblivion, Thor: The Dark World, World War Z
These 5 are a fairly strong bet, probably one of the easiest to call, especially with 10 films to pick from on the shortlist and the likes of Man of Steel, Rush and The Secret Life of Walter Mitty left off.
Not only is Gravity a lock, but like Life of Pi last year you can safely say
it will win. VES and BAFTA nominations back up this crew.
Best Sound Editing- Gravity, Captain Phillips, All is Lost, Rush, Lone Survivor
Other
Possibilities- Pacific Rim, Iron Man 3, Man of Steel, Star Trek: Into Darkness, Oblivion, The Great Gatsby, 12
Years a Slave
It's a crowded category, but Lone Survivor's late release date is the only weak link. Pacific Rim, Iron Man 3 or even Man of Steel (but that's a stretch) could steal that last spot. MPSE nominees remain evasive so it's hard to know which the Oscars could go.
Best Sound Mixing- Gravity, Captain Phillips, Inside Llewyn Davis, Lone Survivor, All is Lost
Other
Possibilities- 12 Years a Slave, Iron Man 3, Rush, Man of Steel, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Star Trek: Into Darkness, Oblivion, The Great Gatsby
The CAS nominees are Gravity, Inside Llewyn Davis, Captain Phillips, Lone Survivor and Iron Man 3. The Oscars will likely follow their lead, replacing Iron Man 3 with All is Lost. 12 Years a Slave or Rush could even pick up a spot, as the Oscars love to give 'surprise' nominations to heavy hitting dramas.
Best Original Score- Hans Zimmer “12 Years a Slave”, Steven Price “Gravity”, Thomas
Newman “Saving Mr. Banks”, Alex Ebert “All is Lost”, Henry Jackman “Captain Phillips”
Major Players- Randy Newman “Monsters University”, William Butler & Owen Pallett “Her”, Alexandre Desplat “Philomena”, John Williams “The Book Thief”
Other Possibilities- Howard
Shore “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug”, Rodrigo Leao “Lee Daniels’ The
Butler”, Hans Zimmer “Man of Steel”, Hans
Zimmer “Rush”
Mostly familiar names here.
This will be Price’s first nomination and at the moment he and Zimmer are the frontrunners to win. Thomas Newman is a fairly safe bet at this point although there is plenty of room for snubs. Ebert and Jackman will likely earn their first Oscar nominations, although they will have to compete with Randy Newman, Butler & Pallett, Desplat and Williams. Jackman knocked out Randy
Newman at the BAFTAs and Ebert won at the Golden Globe, so there's definitely some momentum behind both. This is one category that I expect to be proven quite wrong in.
Best Original Song- Let It Go “Frozen”, Ordinary Love “Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”, Young & Beautiful “The Great Gatsby”, So You Know What It’s Like “Short Term 12”
Possible Steals- Amen “All is Lost”, In the Middle of the Night “Lee Daniels’ The Butler”, Sweeter Than Fiction “One Chance”, Happy
“Despicable Me 2”, The Moon Song “Her”
Other Possibilities- You
and I Ain’t Nothing No More “Lee Daniels’ The Butler”, I See Fire “The Hobbit: The
Desolation of Smaug”, $100 Bill “The Great Gatsby”, My Lord Sunshine (Sunrise) “12 Years a Slave”
Let
It Go is the closest to a lock we will see in this always unpredictable
category. Please Mr. Kennedy was the other frontrunner for the season until the
Academy declared it ineligible and left it off of the 75 song shortlist. Let
It Go, Atlas and Ordinary Love received both Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice
nominations, with Ordinary Love winning the Golden Globe. Happy and Young &
Beautiful also received Critics’ Choice nominations, while Sweeter than Fiction
received a Golden Globe nomination. Atlas will likely be dethroned by either In the Middle of the Night, Amen or Sweeter Than Fiction, but in deciding which one I just opted to give Atlas my vote of confidence.
Best Animated Film- Frozen, The
Wind Rises, Despicable Me 2, Monsters University, The Croods
Major Players- Epic, Ernest and Celestine, A Letter to Momo
Rest of the Shortlist- Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2, Turbo, The Smurfs 2, The Fake, Khumba, The
Legend of Sarila, O Apostolo, Puelle Magi Madoka Magica the Movie, Rebellion
Rio: 2096 A Story of Love and Fury, Free
Birds, Planes
The Croods knocked out The Wind
Rises at the PGA, but I expect it will be Epic it knocks out this time.
The Annie Awards actually highlight this race pretty well with Epic being the only major player left off the ballot.
Best Foreign Language Film- Thomas Vinterberg “The Hunt” (Denmark), Paolo Sorrentino “The Great Beauty” (Italy), Wong Kar-wai “The Grandmaster” (Hong Kong), Felix van Groeningen “The Broken Circle Breakdown” (Belgium)
Shortlist- Hany Abu-Assad “Omar”
(Palestine), Georg Maas “Two Lives” (Germany), Danis Tanovic “An Episode in the
Life of an Iron Picker” (Bosnia and Herzegovina), Rithy Panh “The Missing
Picture” (Cambodia)
The
Great Beauty and The Hunt seemed like locks to begin with, picking up Golden Globe nominations and are probably even safer with the likes of The Past, Wadjda, Ilo Ilo and Gabrielle being snubbed from the Academy's shortlist. The Grandmaster and The Broken Circle Breakdown have moved up in the world and will likely make the cut alongside The Notebook (no, not the one with Ryan Gosling).
Best Documentary (Feature)- Stories We Tell, Blackfish, The Act of Killing, 20 Feet from Stardom, The Crash Reel
Shortlist- Tim's Vermeer, Life
According to Sam, Which Way is the Front Line from Here? The Life and Time of
Tim Hetherington, Cutie and the Boxer, The Armstrong Lie, Dirty Wars, First Cousin
Once Removed, God Loves Uganda, Pussy Riot: A Punk Prayer, The Square
Stories We Tell, The Act of Killing and 20 Feet from Stardom are all safe bets at this point, with Blackfish acting as the populist option (it didn't work for Bully last year, but I think Blackfish can pull it off).
Life According to Sam and Which Way is the Front Line from Here? The Life and Time of Tim Hetherington both received PGA nominations, and Tim’s
Vermeer received a Critics’ Choice nomination, so these three could steal the final spot.
SASShhodgdklkjdfs
Best Documentary (Short Subject)
Shortlist- CaveDigger, Facing Fear, Jujitsu-ing Reality, Karama Has No Walls, The
Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life, Prison Terminal: The Last Days of
Private Jack Hall, Recollections, SLOMO
Best
Short (Animated)- Gloria Victoria, Subconscious Password, Get a Horse!, Requiem for Romance, Room on
the Broom
Shortlist- Feral, Hollow Land, The Missing Scarf, Possessions, Mr Hublot
Intentionally
loud, abstract and difficult to love, Theodore Ushev’s Gloria Victoria is a frontrunner going into Oscar season,
especially with Pixar’s The Blue Umbrella
out of the picture. A snub for Gloria
Victoria would tip the Academy’s hand on how out of touch some Oscar voters
are in this field. Disney’s Get a Horse!
and fellow NFB production Subconscious
Password are relatively safe bets as well. Gloria Victoria and Get a
Horse! both received Annie nominations so that should help them out as
well. Requiem for Romance is a
beautiful and painful (in a good way) love story that I would love to see
nominated and Room on the Broom fills
the classic children’s animation slot.
Best
Short (Live Action)
Shortlist- Record/Play, Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn’t Me), Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before
Losing Everything), Dva (Two), Helium, Kush, Pitaako Mun Kaikki Hoitaa (Do I
Have to Take Care of Everything?), Throat Song, Tiger Boy, The Voorman Problem
Monday, December 30, 2013
2014 Watchlist
Well the new year is almost here so I thought I'd share my watchlist for 2014! Obviously release dates will change and none of this final or official. Many of these movies will bomb and disappoint us and in a year we can all laugh that we thought some of these could get Oscar nominations. This list is simply what I have found online to keep an eye on. If you things update before I do or if you find something new that I haven't, please take the time to send me a quick message so I can change or add it. Thanks and see you on the flip side!
Films are listed chronologically by release date with the director in brackets and cast members that I consider noteworthy to the film. Films without a release date are listed at the end.
Feb 7
The Monuments Men (George Clooney)- George Clooney, Cate Blanchett, Matt Damon, John Goodman, Jean Dujardin, Bill Murray
Films are listed chronologically by release date with the director in brackets and cast members that I consider noteworthy to the film. Films without a release date are listed at the end.
Feb 7
The Monuments Men (George Clooney)- George Clooney, Cate Blanchett, Matt Damon, John Goodman, Jean Dujardin, Bill Murray
Enemy (Denis Villeneuve)- Jake Gyllenhaal, Melanie Laurent
Feb 14
Winter's Tale (Akiva Goldsman)- Colin Farrell, Jennifer Connelly, Jessica Brown Findlay, Russell Crowe, Will Smith, Matt Bomer, William Hurt, Eva Marie Saint
Feb 21
In Secret (Charlie Stratton)- Elizabeth Olsen, Tom Felton, Jessica Lange, Oscar Isaac
March 7
The Grand Budapest Hotel (Wes Anderson)- Ralph Fiennes, Tony Revolori, Edward Norton, Adrien Brody, F Murray Abraham, Lea Seydoux, Saoirse Ronan, Jude Law, Bill Murray, Tilda Swinton, Owen Wilson, Willem Dafoe, Jason Schwartzman, Harvey Keitel, Tom Wilkinson, Jeff Goldblum
March 14
Grace of Monaco (Olivier Dahan)- Nicole Kidman, Tim Roth, Milo Ventimiglia
March 28
Noah (Darren Aronofsky)- Emma Watson, Logan Lerman, Jennifer Connelly, Russell Crowe, Anthony Hopkins
Apr 11
Draft Day (Ivan Reitman)- Kevin Costner, Jennifer Garner, Tom Welling, Ellen Burstyn, Frank Langella, Chadwick Boseman
Apr 16
Heaven is for Real (Randall Wallace)- Greg Kinnear, Kelly Reilly, Connor Corum, Margo Martindale, Thomas Haden Church
Apr 18
Transcendence (Wally Pfister)- Johnny Depp, Kate Mara, Morgan Freeman, Rebecca Hall, Cillian Murphy, Paul Bettany
May 9
Chef (Jon Favreau)- Jon Favreau, Scarlett Johansson, Robert Downey Jr, Sofia Vergara, Dustin Hoffman
May 16
Million Dollar Arm (Craig Gillespie)- Jon Hamm, Alan Arkin, Suraj Sharma, Madhur Mittal, Bill Paxton
Godzilla (Gareth Edwards)- Bryan Cranston, Ken Watanabe
May 23
X-Men Days of Future Past (Bryan Singer)- Jennifer Lawrence, Nicholas Hoult, Ian McKellan, Patrick Stewart, Peter Dinklage, Halle Berry, Hugh Jackman, Michael Fassbender, Ellen Page, James McAvoy, Evan Peters, Shawn Ashmore, Lucas Till
June 6
The Fault in Our Stars (Josh Boone)- Shailene Woodley, Willem Dafoe
June 20
Jersey Boys (Clint Eastwood)- Christopher Walken, John Lloyd Young, Vincent Piazza, Erich Bergen, Michael Lomenda, Renee Marino, Mike Doyle, Joey Russo, Donnie Kehr, Erica Piccininni, Freya Tingley
June 27
Transformer: Age of Extinction (Michael Bay)- Mark Wahlberg, Stanley Tucci, Kelsey Grammer
July 25
Hercules (Brett Ratner)- Dwayne Johnson, Joseph Fiennes
Aug 1
Guardians of the Galaxy (James Gunn)- Chris Pratt, Karen Gillan, Zoe Saldana, Bradley Cooper, Vin Diesel, Lee Pace, Benicio Del Toro, Michael Rooker, John C Reilly, Glenn Close, Djimon Hounsou
Aug 8
The Hundred Foot Journey (Lasse Hallstrom)- Helen Mirren, Manish Dayal
Aug 15
The Giver (Phillip Noyce)- Taylor Swift, Alexander Skarsgaard, Meryl Streep, Katie Homes, Jeff Bridges
Feb 14
Winter's Tale (Akiva Goldsman)- Colin Farrell, Jennifer Connelly, Jessica Brown Findlay, Russell Crowe, Will Smith, Matt Bomer, William Hurt, Eva Marie Saint
Feb 21
In Secret (Charlie Stratton)- Elizabeth Olsen, Tom Felton, Jessica Lange, Oscar Isaac
March 7
The Grand Budapest Hotel (Wes Anderson)- Ralph Fiennes, Tony Revolori, Edward Norton, Adrien Brody, F Murray Abraham, Lea Seydoux, Saoirse Ronan, Jude Law, Bill Murray, Tilda Swinton, Owen Wilson, Willem Dafoe, Jason Schwartzman, Harvey Keitel, Tom Wilkinson, Jeff Goldblum
March 14
Grace of Monaco (Olivier Dahan)- Nicole Kidman, Tim Roth, Milo Ventimiglia
March 28
Noah (Darren Aronofsky)- Emma Watson, Logan Lerman, Jennifer Connelly, Russell Crowe, Anthony Hopkins
Apr 11
Draft Day (Ivan Reitman)- Kevin Costner, Jennifer Garner, Tom Welling, Ellen Burstyn, Frank Langella, Chadwick Boseman
Apr 16
Heaven is for Real (Randall Wallace)- Greg Kinnear, Kelly Reilly, Connor Corum, Margo Martindale, Thomas Haden Church
Apr 18
Transcendence (Wally Pfister)- Johnny Depp, Kate Mara, Morgan Freeman, Rebecca Hall, Cillian Murphy, Paul Bettany
May 9
Chef (Jon Favreau)- Jon Favreau, Scarlett Johansson, Robert Downey Jr, Sofia Vergara, Dustin Hoffman
May 16
Million Dollar Arm (Craig Gillespie)- Jon Hamm, Alan Arkin, Suraj Sharma, Madhur Mittal, Bill Paxton
Godzilla (Gareth Edwards)- Bryan Cranston, Ken Watanabe
May 23
X-Men Days of Future Past (Bryan Singer)- Jennifer Lawrence, Nicholas Hoult, Ian McKellan, Patrick Stewart, Peter Dinklage, Halle Berry, Hugh Jackman, Michael Fassbender, Ellen Page, James McAvoy, Evan Peters, Shawn Ashmore, Lucas Till
June 6
The Fault in Our Stars (Josh Boone)- Shailene Woodley, Willem Dafoe
June 20
Jersey Boys (Clint Eastwood)- Christopher Walken, John Lloyd Young, Vincent Piazza, Erich Bergen, Michael Lomenda, Renee Marino, Mike Doyle, Joey Russo, Donnie Kehr, Erica Piccininni, Freya Tingley
June 27
Transformer: Age of Extinction (Michael Bay)- Mark Wahlberg, Stanley Tucci, Kelsey Grammer
July 25
Hercules (Brett Ratner)- Dwayne Johnson, Joseph Fiennes
Aug 1
Guardians of the Galaxy (James Gunn)- Chris Pratt, Karen Gillan, Zoe Saldana, Bradley Cooper, Vin Diesel, Lee Pace, Benicio Del Toro, Michael Rooker, John C Reilly, Glenn Close, Djimon Hounsou
Aug 8
The Hundred Foot Journey (Lasse Hallstrom)- Helen Mirren, Manish Dayal
Aug 15
The Giver (Phillip Noyce)- Taylor Swift, Alexander Skarsgaard, Meryl Streep, Katie Homes, Jeff Bridges
Aug 22
Sin City: A Dame to Kill For (Robert Rodriguez)- Jessica Alba, Rosario Dawson
Sept 9
The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby (Ned Benson)- Jessica Chastain, James McAvoy, Bill Hader, Viola Davis, William Hurt, Archie Panjabi, Jess Weixler
Oct 3
Gone Girl (David Fincher)- Rosamund Pike, Ben Affleck, Missi Pyle, Tyler Perry, Neil Patrick Harris
Oct 10
The Judge (David Dobkin)- Robert Downey Jr, Leighton Meester, Vera Farmiga, Billy Bob Thornton, Melissa Leo, Robert Duvall
Nov 7
Interstellar (Christopher Nolan)- Matthew McConaughey, Jessica Chastain, Anne Hathaway, Wes Bentley, Casey Affleck, Michael Caine, Topher Grace, John Lithgow, Ellen Burstyn, David Oyelowo, Matt Damon
Nov 12
Fury (David Ayer)- Brad Pitt, Shia LeBeouf, Logan Lerman, Jon Bernthal, Michael Pena
Nov 21
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay- Part 1 (Francis Lawrence)- Jennifer Lawrence, Josh Hutcherson, Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Sam Claflin, Liam Hemsworth, Julianne Moore
McFarland (Niki Caro)- Kevin Costner
Dec 12
Exodus (Ridley Scott)- Christian Bale, Aaron Paul, Sigourney Weaver, Joel Edgerton, Ben Kingsley
Paddington (Paul King)- Nicole Kidman, Colin Firth, Jim Broadbent, Sally Hawkins, Julie Walters
Dec 13
The Railway Man (Jonathan Teplitzky)- Nicole Kidman, Colin Firth, Stellan Skarsgard
Dec 17
The Hobbit: There and Back Again (Peter Jackson)- Martin Freeman, Ian McKellen, Orlando Bloom, Benedict Cumberbatch, Cate Blanchett, Christopher Lee, Hugo Weaving
Dec 19
Annie (Will Gluck)- Quevenzhane Wallis, Jamie Foxx, Cameron Diaz, Tracie Thoms
Dec 25
Into the Woods (Rob Marshall)- Meryl Streep, Anna Kendrick, Chris Pine, Johnny Depp, Emily Blunt, Christine Baranski
Unbroken (Angelina Jolie)- Garrett Hedlund
TBA
Inherent Vice (Paul Thomas Anderson)- Joaquin Phoenix, Reese Witherspoon, Jena Malone, Josh Brolin, Owen Wilson, Benicio Del Toro, Martin Short, Maya Rudolph,
Foxcatcher (Bennett Miller)- Channing Tatum, Steve Carell, Anthony Michael Hall, Mark Ruffalo, Sienna Miller, Vanessa Redgrave
Knight of Cups (Terrence Malick)- Christian Bale, Natalie Portman, Cate Blanchett, Jason Clarke, Wes Bentley, Antonio Banderas
Big Eyes (Tim Burton)- Amy Adams, Christoph Waltz, Krysten Ritter, Jason Schwartzmann
Devil's Knot (Atom Egoyan)- Reese Witherspoon, Dane DeHaan, Stephen Moyer, Colin Firth
Maps to the Stars (David Cronenberg)- Julianne Moore, Robert Pattinson, Mia Wasikowska, John Cusack
Wild (Jean-Marc Vallee)- Reese Witherspoon, Gaby Hoffman, Laura Dern
Magic in the Moonlight (Woody Allen)- Emma Stone, Colin Firth, Jacki Weaver
The Search (Michel Hazanavicius)- Annette Bening, Berenice Bejo
A Most Wanted Man (Anton Corbijn)- Rachel McAdams, Robin Wright, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Willem Dafoe, Daniel Bruhl, Nina Hoss
Serena (Susanne Bier)- Jennifer Lawrence, Bradley Cooper, Rhys Ifans
The Zero Theorem (Terry Gilliam)- Christoph Waltz, Melanie Thierry, David Thewlis, Matt Damon, Tilda Swinton, Ben Whishaw
Effie Gray (Richard Laxton)- Emma Thompson, Dakota Fanning, Julie Walters, Robbie Coltrane, Derek Jacobi
Elsa & Fred (Michael Radford)- Christopher Plummer, Shirley MacLaine, James Brolin
The Immigrant (James Gray)- Joaquin Phoenix, Jeremy Renner, Marion Cotillard
Untitled Cameron Crowe Project (Cameron Crowe)- Emma Stone, Bradley Cooper, Rachel McAdams, Jay Baruchel, John Krasinski, Bill Murray, Alec Baldwin
Imagine (Dan Fogelman)- Al Pacino, Jennifer Garner, Josh Peck, Michael Caine, Annette Bening, Christopher Plummer
Anyone's Ghost (Josh Shreve)- Toby Nichols, Tim Meadows, Robyn Lively, W Earl Brown, Frances Conroy
Kidnapping Freddy Heineken (Daniel Alfredson)- Anthony Hopkins, Sam Worthington, Jim Sturgess
Sept 9
The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby (Ned Benson)- Jessica Chastain, James McAvoy, Bill Hader, Viola Davis, William Hurt, Archie Panjabi, Jess Weixler
Oct 3
Gone Girl (David Fincher)- Rosamund Pike, Ben Affleck, Missi Pyle, Tyler Perry, Neil Patrick Harris
Oct 10
The Judge (David Dobkin)- Robert Downey Jr, Leighton Meester, Vera Farmiga, Billy Bob Thornton, Melissa Leo, Robert Duvall
Nov 7
Interstellar (Christopher Nolan)- Matthew McConaughey, Jessica Chastain, Anne Hathaway, Wes Bentley, Casey Affleck, Michael Caine, Topher Grace, John Lithgow, Ellen Burstyn, David Oyelowo, Matt Damon
Nov 12
Fury (David Ayer)- Brad Pitt, Shia LeBeouf, Logan Lerman, Jon Bernthal, Michael Pena
Nov 21
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay- Part 1 (Francis Lawrence)- Jennifer Lawrence, Josh Hutcherson, Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Sam Claflin, Liam Hemsworth, Julianne Moore
McFarland (Niki Caro)- Kevin Costner
Dec 12
Exodus (Ridley Scott)- Christian Bale, Aaron Paul, Sigourney Weaver, Joel Edgerton, Ben Kingsley
Paddington (Paul King)- Nicole Kidman, Colin Firth, Jim Broadbent, Sally Hawkins, Julie Walters
Dec 13
The Railway Man (Jonathan Teplitzky)- Nicole Kidman, Colin Firth, Stellan Skarsgard
Dec 17
The Hobbit: There and Back Again (Peter Jackson)- Martin Freeman, Ian McKellen, Orlando Bloom, Benedict Cumberbatch, Cate Blanchett, Christopher Lee, Hugo Weaving
Dec 19
Annie (Will Gluck)- Quevenzhane Wallis, Jamie Foxx, Cameron Diaz, Tracie Thoms
Dec 25
Into the Woods (Rob Marshall)- Meryl Streep, Anna Kendrick, Chris Pine, Johnny Depp, Emily Blunt, Christine Baranski
Unbroken (Angelina Jolie)- Garrett Hedlund
TBA
Inherent Vice (Paul Thomas Anderson)- Joaquin Phoenix, Reese Witherspoon, Jena Malone, Josh Brolin, Owen Wilson, Benicio Del Toro, Martin Short, Maya Rudolph,
Foxcatcher (Bennett Miller)- Channing Tatum, Steve Carell, Anthony Michael Hall, Mark Ruffalo, Sienna Miller, Vanessa Redgrave
Knight of Cups (Terrence Malick)- Christian Bale, Natalie Portman, Cate Blanchett, Jason Clarke, Wes Bentley, Antonio Banderas
Big Eyes (Tim Burton)- Amy Adams, Christoph Waltz, Krysten Ritter, Jason Schwartzmann
Maps to the Stars (David Cronenberg)- Julianne Moore, Robert Pattinson, Mia Wasikowska, John Cusack
Wild (Jean-Marc Vallee)- Reese Witherspoon, Gaby Hoffman, Laura Dern
Magic in the Moonlight (Woody Allen)- Emma Stone, Colin Firth, Jacki Weaver
The Search (Michel Hazanavicius)- Annette Bening, Berenice Bejo
A Most Wanted Man (Anton Corbijn)- Rachel McAdams, Robin Wright, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Willem Dafoe, Daniel Bruhl, Nina Hoss
Serena (Susanne Bier)- Jennifer Lawrence, Bradley Cooper, Rhys Ifans
The Zero Theorem (Terry Gilliam)- Christoph Waltz, Melanie Thierry, David Thewlis, Matt Damon, Tilda Swinton, Ben Whishaw
Snowpiercer (Joon-ho Bong)- Chris Evans, Tilda Swinton, Jamie Bell, Ed Harris, Octavia Spencer
Effie Gray (Richard Laxton)- Emma Thompson, Dakota Fanning, Julie Walters, Robbie Coltrane, Derek Jacobi
Elsa & Fred (Michael Radford)- Christopher Plummer, Shirley MacLaine, James Brolin
The Immigrant (James Gray)- Joaquin Phoenix, Jeremy Renner, Marion Cotillard
Untitled Cameron Crowe Project (Cameron Crowe)- Emma Stone, Bradley Cooper, Rachel McAdams, Jay Baruchel, John Krasinski, Bill Murray, Alec Baldwin
Imagine (Dan Fogelman)- Al Pacino, Jennifer Garner, Josh Peck, Michael Caine, Annette Bening, Christopher Plummer
Anyone's Ghost (Josh Shreve)- Toby Nichols, Tim Meadows, Robyn Lively, W Earl Brown, Frances Conroy
Kidnapping Freddy Heineken (Daniel Alfredson)- Anthony Hopkins, Sam Worthington, Jim Sturgess
Sunday, February 24, 2013
85th Academy Awards Final Predictions
Well folks, this is it! In just two short days the Oscars are back and I am here to give you the inside scoop on who will, and who should, take home the Oscar.
Best Picture- May as well start with the one on everybody's mind. There's a couple front-runners this year and some that look like they are but probably won't be.
9)- Les Miserables- Probably the biggest disappointment of 2012. Not that it was a terrible movie, don't get me wrong, but it was quite disappointing. Based on Hooper's work with The King's Speech I expected his stage-meets-silver screen-style to come to life brilliantly and was extremely disappointed by Hooper's sloppy and uncertain direction. One of 2012's movies with the most to lose- and it lost.
8)- Life of Pi- It only beats out Les Mis over it's sheer technical beauty, but Life of Pi falls flat. A visual masterpiece, however, it's weak performances (especially from lead Suraj Sharma in a very lead-heavy role) had me checking my watch and just waiting for something important to happen. All this being said, maybe it would've just been smarter for Ang Lee to have not adapted one of the most overrated novels ever.
7)- Argo- I'll get this out of the way quickly. It was good, not great. When you think about the movies that this will go down alongside if it does win Best Picture (which I hope it won't)- say The Godfather, Casablanca or On the Waterfront- it becomes a little more clear that while Argo is good, it's not "the stuff that dreams are made of." On the other hand, Ben Affleck has proved himself a director worth looking out for and his snub for Best Director has not been taken lightly. Overall, a weak (acting) performance from Ben Affleck, Alan Arkin below his best and a script that completely underplays Canada's involvement and sacrifices historical catharsis for childish Hollywood drama has cost this my vote.
6)- Zero Dark Thirty- Another movie this year that I was quite underwhelmed by. Zero Dark Thirty is really more of a docu-drama than anything else and while I greatly admire Kathryn Bigelow's willingness to be controversial to tell a story, I find it just seems to be missing something. It's power is definitely in it's subtle, low-key style and both Bigelow and screenwriter/producer Mark Boal are great talents that will almost certainly go home award-less.
5)- Silver Linings Playbook- Not quite romantic comedy, but not quite drama either. David O Russell's expertly adapts this novel into a quirky, light-hearted film about rising above all the craziness of life to find something good.
4)- Django Unchained- Tarantino's back. Almost undoubtedly his best work since Pulp Fiction and just behind Reservoir Dogs for my favourite Tarantino pic. The combination of top-notch performances from Jamie Foxx, Christoph Waltz, Leonardo DiCaprio and Samuel L Jackson and one of Tarantino's most well-written scripts puts this black comedy (pun intended)/drama as one of the best of the year.
3)- Beasts of the Southern Wild- Probably the top indie movie of the year and a brilliant debut from director Benh Zeitlin. Thoroughly enjoyable, uplifting and with a fantastic performance from young actress Quvenzhane Wallis.
2)- Lincoln- Just because Spielberg has the touch of gold doesn't mean he should be taken for granted. Definitely his best work since Saving Private Ryan, and actually uses a very similar style to capture the tension of the period, Spielberg shows no signs of slowing down.
1)- Amour- A haunting picture of life, age and love. Michael Haneke's direction and sreenplay are simple and moving and are anchored by brilliant performances from Emmanuelle Riva, Jean-Louis Trintignant and Isabelle Hupert.
My Prediction- Lincoln
Possible Steal- Argo or Amour
My Vote- Lincoln or Amour
Notable Absence- Moonrise Kingdom- I'm still not over the fact the one of the few good movies to come out of 2012 received only one nomination.
Notable Absence- Ben Affleck 'Argo'
My Prediction- Daniel Day-Lewis 'Lincoln'
My Vote- Daniel Day-Lewis 'Lincoln' or Joaquin Phoenix 'The Master'
Notable Absence- John Hawkes 'The Sessions'
Actress in a Leading Role- Emmanuelle Riva ‘Amour’, Jennifer Lawrence 'Silver Linings Playbook', Quvenzhane Wallis ‘Beasts of the Southern Wild’, Jessica Chastain ‘Zero Dark Thirty’, Naomi Watts ‘The Impossible’
My Prediction- Jennifer Lawrence 'Silver Linings Playbook'
Possible Steal- Emmanuelle Riva 'Amour'
My Vote- Emmanuelle Riva 'Amour'
My Prediction- Tommy Lee Jones 'Lincoln'
Possible Steal- Christoph Waltz 'Django Unchained' or Phillip Seymour Hoffman 'The Master'
My Vote- Phillip Seymour Hoffman 'The Master'
Notable Absence- Leonardo DiCaprio 'Django Unchained'
My Prediction- Anne Hathaway 'Les Miserables'
My Vote- Anne Hathaway 'Les Miserables'
Notable Absence- Maggie Smith 'The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel'
My Prediction- Quentin Tarantino 'Django Unchained'
Possible Steal- Michael Haneke 'Amour'
My Vote- Quentin Tarantino 'Django Unchained'
My Prediction- Chris Terrio 'Argo'
Possible Steal- Tony Kushner 'Lincoln'
My Vote- Tony Kushner 'Lincoln'
My Prediction- Brave
Possible Steal- Frankenweenie
My Vote- Brave
My Prediction- Amour
My Vote- Amour
Feature Documentary- Searching for Sugar Man, How to Survive a Plague, The Gatekeepers, The Invisible War, 5 Broken Cameras
My Prediction- Searching for Sugar Man
Possible Steal- How to Survive a Plague
My Vote- N/A (I'm ashamed to admit this is one category I let myself get behind in)
My Prediction- Inocente
My Vote- N/A
Animated Short Film- Paperman, Head over Heels, Fresh Guacamole, Maggie Simpson: The Longest Daycare, Adam and Dog
My Prediction- Paperman
Possible Steal- Head Over Heels
My Vote- Paperman
Live Action Short Film- Death of a Shadow, Curfew, Henry, Asad, Buzkashi Boys
My Prediction- Curfew
Possible Steal- Death of a Shadow
My Vote- N/A
My Prediction- Life of Pi
Possible Steal- Lincoln
My Vote- Lincoln
My Prediction- Jacqueline Durran 'Anna Karenina'
Possible Steal- Paco Delgado 'Les Miserables' or Joanna Johnston 'Lincoln'
My Vote- Jacqueline Durran 'Anna Karenina'
My Prediction- Lisa Westcott and Julie Dartnell 'Les Miserables'
My Vote- Howard Berger, Peter Montagna and Martin Samuel 'Hitchcock'
My Prediction- Paul N J Ottosson 'Zero Dark Thirty'
Possible Steal- Per Hallberg and Karen Baker Landers 'Skyfall'
My Vote- Paul N J Ottosson 'Zero Dark Thirty'
My Prediction- Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes 'Les Miserables'
Possible Steal- John Reitz, Gregg Rudloff and Jose Antonio Garcia 'Argo'
My Vote- John Reitz Gregg Rudloff and Jose Antonio Garcia 'Argo'
My Prediction- Mychael Danna 'Life of Pi'
Possible Steal- Alexandre Desplat 'Argo' or John Williams 'Lincoln'
My Vote- John Williams 'Lincoln'
Notable Absences- Jonny Greenwood 'The Master', Danny Elfman 'Frankenweenie'
Original Song- J Ralph "Before My Time" from ‘Chasing Ice’, Walter Murphy and Seth McFarlane "Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from ‘Ted’, Mychael Danna and Bombay Jayshri "Pi’s Lullaby" from ‘Life of Pi’, Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth "Skyfall" from ‘Skyfall‘, Claude-Michel-Schonberg, Herbert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil "Suddenly" from ‘Les Miserables’
My Prediction- Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth "Skyfall" from 'Skyfall'
Possible Steal- Claude-Michel Schonberg, Hebert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil "Suddenly" from 'Les Miserables'
My Vote- Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth "Skyfall" from 'Skyfall'
Notable Absences- Touch the Sky 'Brave', Learn Me Right 'Brave'
Best Picture- May as well start with the one on everybody's mind. There's a couple front-runners this year and some that look like they are but probably won't be.
9)- Les Miserables- Probably the biggest disappointment of 2012. Not that it was a terrible movie, don't get me wrong, but it was quite disappointing. Based on Hooper's work with The King's Speech I expected his stage-meets-silver screen-style to come to life brilliantly and was extremely disappointed by Hooper's sloppy and uncertain direction. One of 2012's movies with the most to lose- and it lost.
8)- Life of Pi- It only beats out Les Mis over it's sheer technical beauty, but Life of Pi falls flat. A visual masterpiece, however, it's weak performances (especially from lead Suraj Sharma in a very lead-heavy role) had me checking my watch and just waiting for something important to happen. All this being said, maybe it would've just been smarter for Ang Lee to have not adapted one of the most overrated novels ever.
7)- Argo- I'll get this out of the way quickly. It was good, not great. When you think about the movies that this will go down alongside if it does win Best Picture (which I hope it won't)- say The Godfather, Casablanca or On the Waterfront- it becomes a little more clear that while Argo is good, it's not "the stuff that dreams are made of." On the other hand, Ben Affleck has proved himself a director worth looking out for and his snub for Best Director has not been taken lightly. Overall, a weak (acting) performance from Ben Affleck, Alan Arkin below his best and a script that completely underplays Canada's involvement and sacrifices historical catharsis for childish Hollywood drama has cost this my vote.
6)- Zero Dark Thirty- Another movie this year that I was quite underwhelmed by. Zero Dark Thirty is really more of a docu-drama than anything else and while I greatly admire Kathryn Bigelow's willingness to be controversial to tell a story, I find it just seems to be missing something. It's power is definitely in it's subtle, low-key style and both Bigelow and screenwriter/producer Mark Boal are great talents that will almost certainly go home award-less.
5)- Silver Linings Playbook- Not quite romantic comedy, but not quite drama either. David O Russell's expertly adapts this novel into a quirky, light-hearted film about rising above all the craziness of life to find something good.
4)- Django Unchained- Tarantino's back. Almost undoubtedly his best work since Pulp Fiction and just behind Reservoir Dogs for my favourite Tarantino pic. The combination of top-notch performances from Jamie Foxx, Christoph Waltz, Leonardo DiCaprio and Samuel L Jackson and one of Tarantino's most well-written scripts puts this black comedy (pun intended)/drama as one of the best of the year.
3)- Beasts of the Southern Wild- Probably the top indie movie of the year and a brilliant debut from director Benh Zeitlin. Thoroughly enjoyable, uplifting and with a fantastic performance from young actress Quvenzhane Wallis.
2)- Lincoln- Just because Spielberg has the touch of gold doesn't mean he should be taken for granted. Definitely his best work since Saving Private Ryan, and actually uses a very similar style to capture the tension of the period, Spielberg shows no signs of slowing down.
1)- Amour- A haunting picture of life, age and love. Michael Haneke's direction and sreenplay are simple and moving and are anchored by brilliant performances from Emmanuelle Riva, Jean-Louis Trintignant and Isabelle Hupert.
My Prediction- Lincoln
Possible Steal- Argo or Amour
My Vote- Lincoln or Amour
Notable Absence- Moonrise Kingdom- I'm still not over the fact the one of the few good movies to come out of 2012 received only one nomination.
Director- Michael Haneke ‘Amour’, Steven Spielberg ‘Lincoln’, Ang Lee ‘Life of Pi’, David O Russell ‘Silver Linings Playbook’, Benh Zeitlin ‘Beasts of the Southern Wild’
And the Oscar goes to... everyone? Seriously though, all of these directors deserve the Oscar.
My Prediction- Steven Spielberg 'Lincoln'
Possible Steal- Ang Lee 'Life of Pi'
My Vote- Michael Haneke 'Amour' or Steven Spielberg 'Lincoln'
And the Oscar goes to... everyone? Seriously though, all of these directors deserve the Oscar.
My Prediction- Steven Spielberg 'Lincoln'
Possible Steal- Ang Lee 'Life of Pi'
My Vote- Michael Haneke 'Amour' or Steven Spielberg 'Lincoln'
Notable Absence- Ben Affleck 'Argo'
Actor in a Leading Role- Daniel Day-Lewis ‘Lincoln’, Joaquin Phoenix ‘The Master’, Bradley Cooper ‘Silver Linings Playbook’, Hugh Jackman ‘Les Miserables’, Denzel Washington ‘Flight’
My Prediction- Daniel Day-Lewis 'Lincoln'
My Vote- Daniel Day-Lewis 'Lincoln' or Joaquin Phoenix 'The Master'
Notable Absence- John Hawkes 'The Sessions'
Actress in a Leading Role- Emmanuelle Riva ‘Amour’, Jennifer Lawrence 'Silver Linings Playbook', Quvenzhane Wallis ‘Beasts of the Southern Wild’, Jessica Chastain ‘Zero Dark Thirty’, Naomi Watts ‘The Impossible’
My Prediction- Jennifer Lawrence 'Silver Linings Playbook'
Possible Steal- Emmanuelle Riva 'Amour'
My Vote- Emmanuelle Riva 'Amour'
Actor in a Supporting Role- Phillip Seymour Hoffman ‘The Master’, Tommy Lee Jones ‘Lincoln’, Christoph Waltz ‘Django Unchained’, Robert De Niro ‘Silver Linings Playbook’, Alan Arkin ‘Argo’
My Prediction- Tommy Lee Jones 'Lincoln'
Possible Steal- Christoph Waltz 'Django Unchained' or Phillip Seymour Hoffman 'The Master'
My Vote- Phillip Seymour Hoffman 'The Master'
Notable Absence- Leonardo DiCaprio 'Django Unchained'
Actress in a Supporting Role- Anne Hathaway ‘Les Miserables’, Sally Field ‘Lincoln’, Amy Adams ‘The Master’, Helen Hunt ‘The Sessions’, Jacki Weaver ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
My Prediction- Anne Hathaway 'Les Miserables'
My Vote- Anne Hathaway 'Les Miserables'
Notable Absence- Maggie Smith 'The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel'
Original Screenplay- Quentin Tarantino 'Django Unchained', Michael Haneke 'Amour', Mark Boal 'Zero Dark Thirty', Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola 'Moonrise Kingdom', John Gatins 'Flight'
My Prediction- Quentin Tarantino 'Django Unchained'
Possible Steal- Michael Haneke 'Amour'
My Vote- Quentin Tarantino 'Django Unchained'
Adapted Screenplay- Tony Kushner 'Lincoln', David O Russell 'Silver Linings Playbook', Chris Terrio 'Argo', Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin 'Beasts of the Southern Wild', David Magee 'Life of Pi'
My Prediction- Chris Terrio 'Argo'
Possible Steal- Tony Kushner 'Lincoln'
My Vote- Tony Kushner 'Lincoln'
Animated Feature Film- Brave, ParaNorman, Frankenweenie, The Pirates!, Wreck-It Ralph
My Prediction- Brave
Possible Steal- Frankenweenie
My Vote- Brave
Foreign Language Film- Amour (Austria), A Royal Affair (Denmark), War Witch (Canada), No (Chile), Kon-Tiki (Norway)
My Prediction- Amour
My Vote- Amour
Feature Documentary- Searching for Sugar Man, How to Survive a Plague, The Gatekeepers, The Invisible War, 5 Broken Cameras
My Prediction- Searching for Sugar Man
Possible Steal- How to Survive a Plague
My Vote- N/A (I'm ashamed to admit this is one category I let myself get behind in)
Short Subject Documentary- Inocente, Mondays at Racine, Kings Point, Redemption, Open Heart
My Prediction- Inocente
My Vote- N/A
Animated Short Film- Paperman, Head over Heels, Fresh Guacamole, Maggie Simpson: The Longest Daycare, Adam and Dog
My Prediction- Paperman
Possible Steal- Head Over Heels
My Vote- Paperman
Live Action Short Film- Death of a Shadow, Curfew, Henry, Asad, Buzkashi Boys
My Prediction- Curfew
Possible Steal- Death of a Shadow
My Vote- N/A
Cinematography- Claudio Miranda 'Life of Pi', Janusz Kaminski 'Lincoln', Seamus McGarvey 'Anna Karenina', Roger Deakins 'Skyfall', Robert Richardson 'Django Unchained'
My Prediction- Life of Pi
Possible Steal- Lincoln
My Vote- Lincoln
Film Editing- William Goldenberg 'Argo', Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg 'Zero Dark Thirty', Michael Kahn 'Lincoln', Tim Squyres 'Life of Pi', Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers 'Silver Linings Playbook'
My Prediction- William Goldenberg 'Argo'
Possible Steal- Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg 'Zero Dark Thirty' or Michael Kahn 'Lincoln'
My Vote- William Goldenberg 'Argo'
Production Design- Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer 'Anna Karenina', Eve Stewart and Anna Lynch-Bright 'Les Miserables', David Gropman and Anna Pinnock 'Life of Pi', Rick Carter and Jim Erickson 'Lincoln', Dan Henna, Ra Vincent and Simon Bright 'The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey'
My Prediction- Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer 'Anna Karenina'
Possible Steal- David Gropman and Anna Pinnock 'Life of Pi' or Eve Stewart and Anna Lynch-Bright 'Les Miserables'
My Vote- Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer 'Anna Karenina'
Costume Design- Jacqueline Durran 'Anna Karenina', Paco Delgado 'Les Miserables', Joanna Johnston 'Lincoln', Colleen Atwood 'Snow White and the Huntsman', Eiko Ishioka 'Mirror Mirror'
My Prediction- Jacqueline Durran 'Anna Karenina'
Possible Steal- Paco Delgado 'Les Miserables' or Joanna Johnston 'Lincoln'
My Vote- Jacqueline Durran 'Anna Karenina'
Makeup and Hairstyling- Howard Berger, Peter Montagna and Martin Samuel 'Hitchcock', Lisa Westcott and Julie Dartnell 'Les Miserables', Peter Swords King, Rick Findlater and Tami Lane 'The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey'
My Prediction- Lisa Westcott and Julie Dartnell 'Les Miserables'
My Vote- Howard Berger, Peter Montagna and Martin Samuel 'Hitchcock'
Sound Editing- Paul N J Ottosson 'Zero Dark Thirty', Per Hallberg and Karen Baker Landers 'Skyfall', Erik Aadahl and Ethan Van der Ryn 'Argo', Wylie Stateman 'Django Unchained', Eugene Gearty and Philip Stockton 'Life of Pi'
My Prediction- Paul N J Ottosson 'Zero Dark Thirty'
Possible Steal- Per Hallberg and Karen Baker Landers 'Skyfall'
My Vote- Paul N J Ottosson 'Zero Dark Thirty'
Sound Mixing- John Reitz, Gregg Rudloff and Jose Antonio Garcia 'Argo', Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes 'Les Miserables', Ron Bartlett, D M Hemphill and Drew Kunin 'Life of Pi', Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom and Ronald Judkins 'Lincoln', Scott Millan, Greg P Russell and Stuart Wilson 'Skyfall'
My Prediction- Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes 'Les Miserables'
Possible Steal- John Reitz, Gregg Rudloff and Jose Antonio Garcia 'Argo'
My Vote- John Reitz Gregg Rudloff and Jose Antonio Garcia 'Argo'
Original Score- John Williams 'Lincoln', Alexandre Desplat 'Argo', Mychael Danna 'Life of Pi', Dario Marianelli 'Anna Karenina', Thomas Newman 'Skyfall'
My Prediction- Mychael Danna 'Life of Pi'
Possible Steal- Alexandre Desplat 'Argo' or John Williams 'Lincoln'
My Vote- John Williams 'Lincoln'
Notable Absences- Jonny Greenwood 'The Master', Danny Elfman 'Frankenweenie'
Original Song- J Ralph "Before My Time" from ‘Chasing Ice’, Walter Murphy and Seth McFarlane "Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from ‘Ted’, Mychael Danna and Bombay Jayshri "Pi’s Lullaby" from ‘Life of Pi’, Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth "Skyfall" from ‘Skyfall‘, Claude-Michel-Schonberg, Herbert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil "Suddenly" from ‘Les Miserables’
My Prediction- Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth "Skyfall" from 'Skyfall'
Possible Steal- Claude-Michel Schonberg, Hebert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil "Suddenly" from 'Les Miserables'
My Vote- Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth "Skyfall" from 'Skyfall'
Notable Absences- Touch the Sky 'Brave', Learn Me Right 'Brave'
Visual Effects- Bill Westenhofer, Guillame Rocheron, Erik-Jan de Boer and Donald R Elliott 'Life of Pi', Richard Stammers, Trevor Wood, Charley Henley and Martin Hill 'Prometheus', Janek Sirrs, Jeff White, Guy Williams and Dan Sudick 'Marvel's The Avengers', Cedric Nicolas-Troyan, Philip Brennan, Neil Corbould and Michael Dawson 'Snow White and the Huntsman', Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and R Christopher White 'The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey'
Notable Absences- Cloud Atlas, The Dark Knight Rises
My Prediction- Bill Westenhofer, Guillame Rocheron, Erik-Jan de Boer and Donald R Elliott 'Life of Pi'
Possible Steal- Richard Stammers, Trevor Wood, Charley Henley and Martin Hill 'Prometheus'
My Vote- Bill Westenhofer, Guillame Rocheron, Erik-Jan de Boer and Donald R Elliott 'Life of Pi'
Final Tally
My Predictions- Lincoln- 4, Les Miserables- 3, Life of Pi- 3, Anna Karenina- 2, Argo- 2,
My Votes- Lincoln- 6, Amour- 2, Anna Karenina- 2, Argo- 2
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